Demand Forecast

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Bâton de cire coiffante - Balea - Hair Wax Stick - 25g - Vegan - Fixation rapide - Sans microplastiques
SKU · AAAFZ27149

Bâton de cire coiffante - Balea - Hair Wax Stick - 25g - Vegan - Fixation rapide - Sans microplastiques

midtail 3P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-75.0%
vs same 4w last year (16 units)

Current stock

27
≈ 7.1 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 63
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAAFZ27149

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 122 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Bâton de cire coiffante - Balea - Hair Wax Stick - 25g - Vegan - Fixation rapide - Sans microplastiques · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 27 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (721 days of history, 147 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 5 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks10.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months33.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)32.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)122.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 7.7K