Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAFZ27149
Bâton de cire coiffante - Balea - Hair Wax Stick - 25g - Vegan - Fixation rapide - Sans microplastiques
midtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
69
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 57
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-25
AAAFZ27149
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 96 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bâton de cire coiffante - Balea - Hair Wax Stick - 25g - Vegan - Fixation rapide - Sans microplastiques · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 69 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (840 days of history, 91 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 26.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 3.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 12.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 96.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.4K |