Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAFY48281
GLACIÈRE ELECTRIQUE ATLANTIC 10 L 12V
longtail
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
6
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
31
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
12
≈ 13.4 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 346
avg of last 14 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAAFY48281
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 59 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
GLACIÈRE ELECTRIQUE ATLANTIC 10 L 12V · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, stable demand · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (714 days of history, 20 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.63 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 18.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 59.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.4K |