Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAFS76808
LOT DE 3 BOÎTES DE RANGEMENT RECTANGULAIRE FESTIVA 3X275 ML
longtail
1P + 3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
95
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
2
≈ 1.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-07
AAAFS76808
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 143 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
LOT DE 3 BOÎTES DE RANGEMENT RECTANGULAIRE FESTIVA 3X275 ML · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (763 days of history, 105 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.35 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 54.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 142.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.5K |