Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAEW59632
Bocal de conservation en verre 800 ml – Couvercle en verre – Réf. 82455-16
hero
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 69.2% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 23
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAAEW59632
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 249 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bocal de conservation en verre 800 ml – Couvercle en verre – Réf. 82455-16 · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -69.2% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (630 days of history, 600 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.49 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 21.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 65.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 69.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 249.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.7K |