Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAEU27591
Glacière - POLARBOX - 20L - Bleu marine - Isolante - Bracelet en cuir ajustable
longtail
3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 14.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 277
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAEU27591
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 147 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Glacière - POLARBOX - 20L - Bleu marine - Isolante - Bracelet en cuir ajustable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -14.3% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (728 days of history, 38 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 17.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 68.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 146.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 40.6K |