Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAEU27586
GLACIERE CYAN POLARBOX 12L
longtail
1P + 3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
38
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
23
≈ 57.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 202
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAEU27586
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 67 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
GLACIERE CYAN POLARBOX 12L · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 23 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (763 days of history, 18 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.47 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 28.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 67.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.6K |