Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAEU27581
Glacière - POLARBOX - 12L - Bleu marine - Isolant en polypropylène - Sangle en cuir ajustable
longtail
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
4
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
32
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
17
≈ 15.5 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 206
avg of last 26 sells · latest 2025-09-16
AAAEU27581
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 54 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Glacière - POLARBOX - 12L - Bleu marine - Isolant en polypropylène - Sangle en cuir ajustable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, stable demand · on-hand 17 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (721 days of history, 22 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.49 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 54.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.2K |