Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAET60739
Mini Four 9 Litres LM-4186 - Kenz
longtail
1P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 88.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 244
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAET60739
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 165 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mini Four 9 Litres LM-4186 - Kenz · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -88.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (728 days of history, 123 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.33 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 25 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 21.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 48.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 16.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 67.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 164.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 40.2K |