Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAET53515
Lotion pour le Corps - Lactovit - Lactourea - 250ml - Ultra Hydratante - Peaux Sèches
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
3
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 52
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-26
AAAET53515
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 120 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lotion pour le Corps - Lactovit - Lactourea - 250ml - Ultra Hydratante - Peaux Sèches · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (784 days of history, 138 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 57.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 119.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.3K |