Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAET49725
Barbecue rond à 3 pieds - Dimensions : 41 x 33,5 x 35 cm
longtail
3P
CUISINE EXTERIEURE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 72
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-14
AAAET49725
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 25 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Barbecue rond à 3 pieds - Dimensions : 41 x 33,5 x 35 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (420 days of history, 52 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.76 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 9.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 0.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 4.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 25.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 0.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.8K |