Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAET49725
Barbecue rond à 3 pieds - Dimensions : 41 x 33,5 x 35 cm
longtail
3P
CUISINE EXTERIEURE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
29
▲ 107.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 75
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAET49725
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 76 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Barbecue rond à 3 pieds - Dimensions : 41 x 33,5 x 35 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 29 units, trending up +107.1% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (364 days of history, 64 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.70 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 29 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 26.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 32.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 75.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.7K |