Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAET28201
LINGETTE DODOT SENSITIVE PH NEUTRE 54 UNITES
longtail
1P
PRODUIT D'ENTRETIEN
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
15
▲ 150.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 17
avg of last 20 sells · latest 2026-04-30
AAAET28201
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
LINGETTE DODOT SENSITIVE PH NEUTRE 54 UNITES · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, trending up +150.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (637 days of history, 39 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.10 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 7.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 22.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 68.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.2K |