Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAEP65783
Lotion Corporelle - Lactovit - Nourrissante - 400ml - Sans parfum - Pour peaux normales à sèches
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
-78.3%
vs same 4w last year (23 units)
Current stock
82
≈ 27.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 50
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAEP65783
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 107 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lotion Corporelle - Lactovit - Nourrissante - 400ml - Sans parfum - Pour peaux normales à sèches · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, stable demand · on-hand 82 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (721 days of history, 164 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 27.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 107.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.3K |