Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAEM83865
Kenz Bouilloire Electrique élégant 1.8L 1500W BG1500
midtail
1P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
21
▼ 56.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
47
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
47
≈ 6.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 77
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAAEM83865
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 429 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Kenz Bouilloire Electrique élégant 1.8L 1500W BG1500 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 21 units, trending down -56.2% · on-hand 47 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (854 days of history, 371 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.88 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 21 units · prev 4w = 48 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 122.8 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 24.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 91.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 428.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 9.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 33.2K |