Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAEM83865
Kenz Bouilloire Electrique élégant 1.8L 1500W BG1500
midtail
1P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 1000.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
27
≈ 4.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 73
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2025-12-30
AAAEM83865
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 257 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Kenz Bouilloire Electrique élégant 1.8L 1500W BG1500 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +1000.0% · on-hand 27 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (735 days of history, 396 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.99 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 12.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 45.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 12.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 80.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 256.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 18.7K |