Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAEM83865
Kenz Bouilloire Electrique élégant 1.8L 1500W BG1500
midtail
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
26
▼ 35.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
154
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
59
≈ 8.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 77
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAEM83865
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 343 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Kenz Bouilloire Electrique élégant 1.8L 1500W BG1500 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 26 units, trending down -35.0% · on-hand 58 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (791 days of history, 470 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.92 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 26 units · prev 4w = 40 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 10.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 43.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 178.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 69.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 342.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 26.3K |