Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAEM68541
ICE BRICK GM + ANTIGEL
longtail
3P
SERVICE APERITIF - OENOLOGIE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 120.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
196
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 11
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-03-25
AAAEM68541
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 144 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ICE BRICK GM + ANTIGEL · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +120.0% · on-hand 196 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (742 days of history, 21 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 30.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 37.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 144.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.6K |