Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAEM68538
Réfrigérant - Bloc de Glace - PM - Antigel - Compact - Réutilisable - 250ml
longtail
3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
28
▲ 21.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
167
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAEM68538
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 187 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Réfrigérant - Bloc de Glace - PM - Antigel - Compact - Réutilisable - 250ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 28 units, trending up +21.7% · on-hand 213 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (777 days of history, 82 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.80 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 28 units · prev 4w = 23 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 8.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 30.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 93.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 186.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.9K |