Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAADW07820
PAQUET DE 48 PROTEGE-SLIP CAREFREE LARGE + PAQUET DE 20 PROTEGE-SLIP OFFERT
longtail
1P + 3P
HYGIENE INTIME
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 333.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
380
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
11
≈ 9.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 30
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAADW07820
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 171 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
PAQUET DE 48 PROTEGE-SLIP CAREFREE LARGE + PAQUET DE 20 PROTEGE-SLIP OFFERT · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +333.3% · on-hand 11 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (721 days of history, 99 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.13 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 21.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 82.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 44.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 171.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.2K |