Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAADR75315
Plaque de cuisson - 1 feu électrique - 500W - Noir - 16x14 cm
hero
1P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
49
▲ 276.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
276
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
276
≈ 19.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 80
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAADR75315
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 937 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Plaque de cuisson - 1 feu électrique - 500W - Noir - 16x14 cm · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 49 units, trending up +276.9% · on-hand 276 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (861 days of history, 1,216 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.20 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 49 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 299.9 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 21.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 16.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 77.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 937.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 15.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 74.8K |