Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAADR75315
Plaque de cuisson - 1 feu électrique - 500W - Noir - 16x14 cm
hero
1P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
27
▼ 34.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-3.6%
vs same 4w last year (28 units)
Current stock
87
≈ 5.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 88
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAADR75315
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 275 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Plaque de cuisson - 1 feu électrique - 500W - Noir - 16x14 cm · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 27 units, trending down -34.1% · on-hand 87 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (749 days of history, 1,178 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.18 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 27 units · prev 4w = 41 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 9.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 42.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 105.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 17.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 86.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 274.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 24.1K |