Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAADR75315
Plaque de cuisson - 1 feu électrique - 500W - Noir - 16x14 cm
hero
1P + 3P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
24
▼ 29.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
129
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
29
≈ 1.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 83
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAADR75315
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 341 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Plaque de cuisson - 1 feu électrique - 500W - Noir - 16x14 cm · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 24 units, trending down -29.4% · on-hand 30 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (798 days of history, 1,197 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.18 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 24 units · prev 4w = 34 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 9.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 38.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 169.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 68.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 340.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 28.2K |