Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAADM15199
Faitout AD 28 Top Home - Couleur Aléatoire
longtail
1P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 62.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
10
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
10
≈ 23.5 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 116
avg of last 16 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAADM15199
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 63 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Faitout AD 28 Top Home - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -62.5% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (532 days of history, 24 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.55 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 17.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.3K |