Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAADF80537
Pack mouchoirs de poche super soft 4 plis 10 unités x 10 étuis - SELPAK
longtail
1P
HYGIENE NEZ ET OREILLE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
201
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
25
≈ 138.3 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 12
avg of last 16 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAADF80537
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 52 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack mouchoirs de poche super soft 4 plis 10 unités x 10 étuis - SELPAK · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 25 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (609 days of history, 7 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.30 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 19.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 51.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 617 |