Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAADC45549
DOVE - Déodorant Original - Stick - 40g
midtail
1P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
44
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
44
≈ 9.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 22
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-03
AAADC45549
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 120 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
DOVE - Déodorant Original - Stick - 40g · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 44 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (532 days of history, 285 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.05 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 46.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 11.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 120.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.7K |