Demand Forecast

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Déodorant spray Homme DEEP 200ml - NIVEA MEN
SKU · AAADC45541

Déodorant spray Homme DEEP 200ml - NIVEA MEN

longtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

7
▲ 600.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+75.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)

Current stock

10
≈ 12.0 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 29
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-29

AAADC45541

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 67 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Déodorant spray Homme DEEP 200ml - NIVEA MEN · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +600.0% · on-hand 10 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (714 days of history, 40 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months23.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)21.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)67.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.0K