Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAADB47217
Serviettes hygiéniques maxi extra nuit x8pcs - NANA
longtail
3P
HYGIENE INTIME
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
496
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 14
avg of last 10 sells · latest 2025-11-14
AAADB47217
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 144 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Serviettes hygiéniques maxi extra nuit x8pcs - NANA · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 496 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (581 days of history, 22 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 30.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 144.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.0K |