Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAADB08769
Masque Capillaire - Garnier - Hair Food Aloe Vera - 390ML - 98% Ingrédients Naturels - Vegan
midtail
1P + 3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
24
▼ 11.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
57
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
19
≈ 4.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 67
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAADB08769
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 148 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Masque Capillaire - Garnier - Hair Food Aloe Vera - 390ML - 98% Ingrédients Naturels - Vegan · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 24 units, trending down -11.1% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (413 days of history, 172 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.87 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 24 units · prev 4w = 27 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 8.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 27.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 84.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 148.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.9K |