Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACL09317
Bouteille en verre - 950ML
hero
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 69.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
233
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
8
≈ 1.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 41
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAACL09317
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 314 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouteille en verre - 950ML · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -69.0% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (679 days of history, 590 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.95 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 29 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 22.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 117.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 54.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 313.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.0K |