Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACL08837
BOCAL DE RANGEMENT EN VERRE 240 ML AVEC COUVERCLE
hero
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 72.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+500.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
53
≈ 6.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 15
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAACL08837
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 254 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
BOCAL DE RANGEMENT EN VERRE 240 ML AVEC COUVERCLE · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -72.7% · on-hand 53 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (693 days of history, 751 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.22 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 7.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 30.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 79.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 77.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 254.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.7K |