Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACL08836
Bol à salade - Porcelaine - 17.7 cm - Blanc - Compatible lave-vaisselle - Élégant
hero
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 85.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
3
≈ 0.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 6
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAACL08836
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 262 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bol à salade - Porcelaine - 17.7 cm - Blanc - Compatible lave-vaisselle - Élégant · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -85.7% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (483 days of history, 583 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.61 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 17.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 54.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 85.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 262.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.7K |