Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACL08835
Bol à salade rond - Porcelaine - 12,7 cm - Blanc - Compatible lave-vaisselle - Élégant
hero
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
225
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
13
≈ 1.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 5
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-18
AAACL08835
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 60 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bol à salade rond - Porcelaine - 12,7 cm - Blanc - Compatible lave-vaisselle - Élégant · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 13 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (637 days of history, 791 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.68 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 20.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 1.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 9.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 60.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 0.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 320 |