Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACL08835
Bol à salade rond - Porcelaine - 12,7 cm - Blanc - Compatible lave-vaisselle - Élégant
hero
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 500.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
153
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
5
≈ 0.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 5
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAACL08835
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 1089 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bol à salade rond - Porcelaine - 12,7 cm - Blanc - Compatible lave-vaisselle - Élégant · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +500.0% · on-hand 5 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (714 days of history, 760 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.74 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 338.8 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 6.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 1088.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.7K |