Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACL08832
bol à salade rond en porc blanc 15,2cm
midtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▼ 71.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
228
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
113
≈ 23.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 5
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-24
AAACL08832
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 76 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
bol à salade rond en porc blanc 15,2cm · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending down -71.1% · on-hand 113 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (693 days of history, 458 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.28 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 45 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 25.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 75.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 411 |