Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACL08827
Bol à Salade Rond en Porcelaine Blanche – 20,3 cm
longtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
34
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
34
≈ 14.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 9
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-06-03
AAACL08827
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 340 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bol à Salade Rond en Porcelaine Blanche – 20,3 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 34 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (644 days of history, 199 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.29 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 21.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 116.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 60.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 339.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.9K |