Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACI55085
Kaline ecran bonne mine+k-aqua cold cr 50ml pack
longtail
1P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
2,139
Σ Stock across 6 live offers
1P stock
6
≈ 9.5 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 82
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-11
AAACI55085
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 126 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Kaline ecran bonne mine+k-aqua cold cr 50ml pack · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (756 days of history, 23 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.24 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 33.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 39.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 126.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.4K |