Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACH94770
KISONLI L4040 – Enceinte Mobile Bluetooth Portable Temps de charge 4 h - autonomie typique 6–10 heures - Noir
longtail
3P
AMPLIFICATEUR - ENCEINTES
Last 4 weeks demand
16
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 75
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-19
AAACH94770
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 131 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
KISONLI L4040 – Enceinte Mobile Bluetooth Portable Temps de charge 4 h - autonomie typique 6–10 heures - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (217 days of history, 51 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 38.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 39.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 131.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.9K |