Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACG07520
Balea, spray protection contre la chaleur jusqu’à 220 °
midtail
3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▼ 73.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-23.5%
vs same 4w last year (17 units)
Current stock
33
≈ 7.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 49
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAACG07520
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 164 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Balea, spray protection contre la chaleur jusqu’à 220 ° · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending down -73.5% · on-hand 33 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (756 days of history, 303 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.75 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 49 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 23.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 55.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 61.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 164.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.1K |