Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACF91705
ECOUTEURS NOIR+ROUGE MF109044 BOX CITYTEK
longtail
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 14.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
2
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 26 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAACF91705
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 64 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ECOUTEURS NOIR+ROUGE MF109044 BOX CITYTEK · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -14.3% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (714 days of history, 14 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.87 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 28.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 64.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 624 |