Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACF30728
Grille-pain à panini - DENWA - SG322AA - 750W - 2 tranches - Rouge vif
longtail
1P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
19
▼ 34.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+1800.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 93
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAACF30728
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 169 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Grille-pain à panini - DENWA - SG322AA - 750W - 2 tranches - Rouge vif · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, trending down -34.5% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (637 days of history, 137 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.06 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 29 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 9.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 27.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 58.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 18.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 67.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 168.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.6K |