Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAACF25793
QUATY, LITIÈRE MINÉRALE NATURE 10L (PL)
longtail
1P
HYGIENE LITIERE DEJECTIONS
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
1
≈ 1.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 48
avg of last 27 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAACF25793
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 70 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
QUATY, LITIÈRE MINÉRALE NATURE 10L (PL) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (644 days of history, 30 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 19.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 70.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.4K |