Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACD04907
Tasse double paroi - Espresso - 60 ml - Verre borosilicate - Design moderne - Transparent
hero
3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 89.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-50.0%
vs same 4w last year (18 units)
Current stock
2
≈ 0.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 14
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAACD04907
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 507 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tasse double paroi - Espresso - 60 ml - Verre borosilicate - Design moderne - Transparent · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -89.7% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (770 days of history, 375 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.79 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 87 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 19.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 79.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 185.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 39.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 200.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 507.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 14.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.1K |