Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACB29632
Câble USB-A vers Type-C - BASEUS - Crystal Shine - 100 W - 5 A - 1,2 m - Noir
longtail
3P
CONNECTIQUE - ALIMENTATION
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 37.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
109
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 45
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAACB29632
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 66 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Câble USB-A vers Type-C - BASEUS - Crystal Shine - 100 W - 5 A - 1,2 m - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -37.5% · on-hand 109 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (231 days of history, 46 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 19.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 65.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.0K |