Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAACB19429
BROSSE A DENT ORALEX BAMBOU CHARBON
longtail
1P + 3P
DENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▲ 122.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
124
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
71
≈ 66.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 19
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27
AAACB19429
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 128 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
BROSSE A DENT ORALEX BAMBOU CHARBON · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending up +122.2% · on-hand 71 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (763 days of history, 73 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 29.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 127.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.4K |