Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABZ54295
OREILLER SAADA 70X45CM 700G
longtail
1P + 3P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
999
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
15
≈ 9.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 45
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-06-28
AAABZ54295
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 163 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
OREILLER SAADA 70X45CM 700G · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (791 days of history, 113 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.01 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 22.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 79.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 162.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.4K |