Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABZ54291
Boîte de Rangement - Petit Modèle - Plastique Durable - Couvercle Hermétique - Couleur Aléatoire
hero
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 97.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-92.9%
vs same 4w last year (14 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAABZ54291
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 238 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de Rangement - Petit Modèle - Plastique Durable - Couvercle Hermétique - Couleur Aléatoire · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -97.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (756 days of history, 845 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.67 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 37 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 17.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 56.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 77.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 238.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.4K |