Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABZ54291
Boîte de Rangement - Petit Modèle - Plastique Durable - Couvercle Hermétique - Couleur Aléatoire
hero
3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
413
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-23
AAABZ54291
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 307 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de Rangement - Petit Modèle - Plastique Durable - Couvercle Hermétique - Couleur Aléatoire · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (819 days of history, 834 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.70 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 21.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 110.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 306.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.0K |