Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABX03075
TENTE DE CAMPING 2P 200 X 140 X H110CM PAIR24
longtail
1P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
46
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
17
≈ 68.0 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 103
avg of last 22 sells · latest 2025-09-17
AAABX03075
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
TENTE DE CAMPING 2P 200 X 140 X H110CM PAIR24 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 17 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (763 days of history, 11 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |