Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABX00199
Serviette de main - Julian - 30x30 cm - 550g - Coton naturel - Blanc
midtail
1P + 3P
LINGE DE TOILETTE
Last 4 weeks demand
15
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
590
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
15
≈ 3.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 16
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAABX00199
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 363 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Serviette de main - Julian - 30x30 cm - 550g - Coton naturel - Blanc · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, stable demand · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (392 days of history, 228 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.23 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 6.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 28.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 133.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 18.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 72.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 362.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.0K |