Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABX00199
Serviette de main - Julian - 30x30 cm - 550g - Coton naturel - Blanc
midtail
1P
LINGE DE TOILETTE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 91.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
45
≈ 10.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 16
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAABX00199
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 250 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Serviette de main - Julian - 30x30 cm - 550g - Coton naturel - Blanc · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -91.7% · on-hand 45 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (336 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.23 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 24 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 58.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 16.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 76.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 250.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.9K |