Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABX00199
Serviette de main - Julian - 30x30 cm - 550g - Coton naturel - Blanc
midtail
1P + 3P
LINGE DE TOILETTE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
515
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
10
≈ 2.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 16
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-10
AAABX00199
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 157 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Serviette de main - Julian - 30x30 cm - 550g - Coton naturel - Blanc · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, stable demand · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (434 days of history, 233 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.25 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 37.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 14.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 157.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.6K |