Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABV10613
Vlogging kit MF109302 BOX3 - CITYTEK
longtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▲ 300.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
59
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
25
≈ 44.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 63
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAABV10613
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 83 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Vlogging kit MF109302 BOX3 - CITYTEK · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending up +300.0% · on-hand 24 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (707 days of history, 35 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 42.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 82.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.2K |