Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABV06933
CITYTEK - Caméra 90° Wifi Campro 1080P MF109309 BOX3 - Noir
midtail
3P
SECURITE MAISON
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 900.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+11.1%
vs same 4w last year (9 units)
Current stock
61
≈ 15.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 56
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-16
AAABV06933
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 252 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CITYTEK - Caméra 90° Wifi Campro 1080P MF109309 BOX3 - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +900.0% · on-hand 61 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (777 days of history, 60 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.88 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 7.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 39.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 252.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.0K |