Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAABU36071
Crayon pour les Yeux - Maybelline - Tattoo Liner N° 819 - Galactic Cobalt - Waterproof - 36h de tenue
longtail
3P
MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
11
≈ 15.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 44
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAABU36071
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 41 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Crayon pour les Yeux - Maybelline - Tattoo Liner N° 819 - Galactic Cobalt - Waterproof - 36h de tenue · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 11 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (735 days of history, 22 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 13.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 3.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 11.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 41.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.8K |