Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABP85908
Tabouret Pliable - 30x30x45cm - Couleur Aléatoire
longtail
1P + 3P
SIEGE - ASSISE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
115
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
8
≈ 41.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 67
avg of last 15 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAABP85908
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 56 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tabouret Pliable - 30x30x45cm - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (833 days of history, 14 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 24.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 56.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.8K |