Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABP78347
Filtre à cartouche 1,249 m3/h 16 W Cartouche Type II
longtail
1P
ARROSAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 271
avg of last 26 sells · latest 2026-07-02
AAABP78347
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 77 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Filtre à cartouche 1,249 m3/h 16 W Cartouche Type II · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (707 days of history, 19 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.07 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 15.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 43.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 76.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.9K |