Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABP78345
Pompe Électrique - Bestway - PowerGrip - 220-240V - 210W - Gonflage Rapide
longtail
1P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
41
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
21
≈ 27.6 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 121
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2025-11-20
AAABP78345
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 57 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pompe Électrique - Bestway - PowerGrip - 220-240V - 210W - Gonflage Rapide · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 21 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (742 days of history, 28 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.43 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 57.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.9K |