Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABP78345
Pompe Électrique - Bestway - PowerGrip - 220-240V - 210W - Gonflage Rapide
longtail
1P + 3P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
28
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
20
≈ 58.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 120
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-28
AAABP78345
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 54 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pompe Électrique - Bestway - PowerGrip - 220-240V - 210W - Gonflage Rapide · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (791 days of history, 24 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.46 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 24.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 54.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.5K |