Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABP78339
MATELAS GONGLABLE 2,03M1,52MX22CM 67374 PA24
longtail
3P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 133.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
2
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 319
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-03-21
AAABP78339
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 53 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
MATELAS GONGLABLE 2,03M1,52MX22CM 67374 PA24 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +133.3% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (777 days of history, 12 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.68 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 53.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.9K |