Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABP78338
Pompe à air manuelle - Bestway - Air Hammer 2800 - Gonflage rapide - 3 adaptateurs inclus - Mixte
longtail
3P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
Last 4 weeks demand
18
▲ 125.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+500.0%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
268
≈ 179.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 51
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAABP78338
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 160 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pompe à air manuelle - Bestway - Air Hammer 2800 - Gonflage rapide - 3 adaptateurs inclus - Mixte · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 18 units, trending up +125.0% · on-hand 268 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (763 days of history, 118 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.26 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 18 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 47.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 55.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 160.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.2K |